inconstant eden: National: Voters think Obama should focus State of the Union on economy; president handles economy better than GOP

February 11, 2013 - Obama Should Focus State Of The Union On Economy, U.S. Voters Tell Quinnipiac University National Poll; President Handles Economy Better Than GOP, Voters Say
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President Barack Obama should focus on the economy in his State of the Union Address, 35 percent of American voters say in a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Another 20 percent say the federal deficit is the top priority, with 15 percent citing gun policy and 12 percent listing health care.

The U.S. economy is in a recession 53 percent of voters tell the independent Quinnipiac (KWUIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll. A total of 79 percent of voters describe the economy as "not so good" or "poor" and only 34 percent say it's getting better, while 28 percent say it's getting worse and 37 percent say it's staying about the same. By a 47 - 41 percent margin, American voters trust President Barack Obama more than Republicans in Congress to handle the economy. Trust measures on other issues are:

44 percent trust Obama to handle the deficit, compared to 42 percent for Republicans;
48 - 40 percent trust Obama more on health care;
45 percent trust Obama on gun policy while 43 percent trust Republicans;
46 - 41 percent trust Obama more on immigration;
55 - 31 percent trust Obama more on the environment;
51 - 37 percent trust Obama more on foreign policy.

"It's not a majority, but 35 percent of American voters want President Barack Obama to focus on the economy in his State of the Union Address tomorrow night" said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Voters trust President Obama more than Congressional Republicans on the economy and most other issues, but they are more closely divided on who would do a better job on the deficit and on gun-control. And by 48 - 39 percent, voters trust Republicans in Congress more than Obama to cut federal spending." Congress should prevent the $1.2 trillion cuts in defense and domestic spending due to take effect March 1, 43 percent of voters say, while 22 percent say let the cuts happen. Another 32 percent have no opinion. A total of 66 percent of American voters say they are "very likely" or "somewhat likely" to watch the State of the Union Address. That includes 46 percent of Republicans, 86 percent of Democrats and 64 percent of independent voters. Women say they are more likely to watch than men, 71 - 59 percent. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, selected to give the Republican response to the State of the Union address, has a 27 - 15 percent favorability rating among American voters, with 57 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. "Let's see if Florida Sen. Marco Rubio's supporting actor role Tuesday night moves the needle on his favorability meter among voters," Brown said. From January 30 - February 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,772 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 16. President Obama's State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on Tuesday evening, February 12th. How likely is it you will watch the President's State of the Union address that night, very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely or not at all likely?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Very likely          43%    21%    67%    39%    37%    48%    38%    65%    59% Smwht likely         23     25     19     25     22     23     23     25     18 Not very likely       9     14      5     10     11      8     11      1      7 Not likely at all    24     39      8     26     29     21     27     10     16 DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      -                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Very likely          45%    35%    37%    40%    33%    43%    29%    42%    39% Smwht likely         24     23     23     20     24     23     24     22     17 Not very likely      12     10     12     10     12     10     13     10     11 Not likely at all    19     31     26     28     31     23     33     25     32 DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      1      -      1      1      1                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Very likely          48%    41%    46%    40%    44%    34%    36%    47%    51% Smwht likely         23     23     22     24     21     29     27     21     15 Not very likely      11      9      8     10     12      9      9      9     10 Not likely at all    18     27     23     26     23     27     26     23     23 DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -      1

17. As President Obama prepares to deliver his State of the Union address, please tell me which one of the following issues you are most interested in hearing him address: the economy, the federal budget deficit, health care, gun policy, foreign policy, immigration, or the environment?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Economy              35%    32%    38%    35%    34%    36%    35%    43%    25% Federal deficit      20     30     12     21     24     18     23     14     11 Health care          12     10     16      8      8     15     11     17     13 Gun policy           15     12     18     14     14     15     14     16     16 Foreign policy        5      4      4      8      6      4      5      2      9 Immigration           4      3      6      4      4      5      3      2     15 Environment           3      -      4      4      3      3      3      1      7 DK/NA                 6      8      3      6      7      4      6      5      4                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Economy              39%    33%    36%    40%    33%    37%    35%    40%    33% Federal deficit      24     22     25     22     25     20     22     23     27 Health care           9     12     13     10      8     14     14      9      9 Gun policy           10     16     12     15     14     14     12     15     13 Foreign policy        5      5      4      6      6      4      4      6      4 Immigration           4      3      3      3      4      3      3      3      6 Environment           4      2      2      1      4      2      2      1      3 DK/NA                 4      6      6      4      7      4      9      3      5                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Economy              38%    33%    33%    36%    37%    28%    34%    36%    38% Federal deficit      22     19     18     19     29     13     22     22     20 Health care           9     13     15      9      7     14      8     12     14 Gun policy           10     17     18     16     11     26     18     12      9 Foreign policy        6      5      4      6      5      7      6      5      4 Immigration           5      4      4      4      5      3      4      6      3 Environment           4      3      3      3      2      3      2      4      3 DK/NA                 6      6      6      7      5      5      5      5      9

18. Who do you trust to do a better job handling - the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                47%     6%    89%    41%    41%    52%    38%    87%    64% Reps in Congress     41     85      7     43     47     37     50      5     20 DK/NA                12      9      5     17     12     11     12      8     16                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                47%    34%    33%    39%    34%    42%    20%    44%    34% Reps in Congress     43     53     54     52     53     47     66     45     50 DK/NA                10     12     13      9     12     11     14     11     16                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                50%    46%    52%    45%    40%    42%    47%    49%    49% Reps in Congress     38     43     38     44     47     41     44     41     39 DK/NA                12     11     10     11     13     17      9     10     12

TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (* Low also 41% Jul 2010, Jun 2011)

                                                              OBAMA.........                                                              High    Low                      Feb 11  Apr 20  Feb 23  Nov 22  Nov 02  Nov 02  Oct 06                      2013    2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011*   Obama                47      43      46      44      48      48      41 Reps in Congress     41      43      41      41      39      39      43 DK/NA                12      15      13      15      12      12      16

19. Who do you trust to do a better job handling - the federal budget deficit, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                44%     6%    84%    36%    38%    49%    35%    86%    63% Reps in Congress     42     84      9     43     47     37     51      4     21 DK/NA                15     10      8     22     15     15     15     10     16                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                43%    31%    29%    36%    31%    38%    17%    39%    35% Reps in Congress     45     54     55     52     54     47     66     47     48 DK/NA                13     16     16     12     14     15     17     14     17                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                46%    42%    49%    42%    36%    40%    43%    46%    43% Reps in Congress     39     43     36     43     50     36     43     41     44 DK/NA                15     15     14     15     14     24     13     13     13

TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the federal budget deficit, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (*the budget deficit)

                                              BIN LADEN DEATH                                              Post    Pre                      Feb 11  Feb 23  Jun 09  May 05  May 05  Mar 3                      2013    2012    2011    2011*   2011*   2011*   Obama                44      44      39      42      42      43 Reps in Congress     42      46      46      44      46      46 DK/NA                15      10      15      14      11      11

20. Who do you trust to do a better job handling - health care, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                48%     6%    89%    42%    42%    53%    39%    90%    65% Reps in Congress     40     85      6     39     46     35     48      3     21 DK/NA                12      9      4     19     12     13     13      7     14                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                51%    33%    33%    41%    36%    42%    19%    45%    36% Reps in Congress     39     53     55     46     52     45     67     42     50 DK/NA                10     14     13     13     12     13     13     13     14                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                54%    45%    52%    46%    43%    46%    48%    49%    48% Reps in Congress     35     42     36     43     46     41     41     39     40 DK/NA                11     13     12     11     11     13     12     13     12

TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (*Low also 42% Jan 2010 & Mar 2010))

                                                      BETTER PRES...                                                      High    Low                      Feb 11  Mar 03  Nov 17  Apr 21  Jul 1   Apr 21                      2013    2011    2010    2010    2009    2010*   President Obama      48      46      44      42      53      42 Reps in Congress     40      43      45      39      33      39 DK/NA                12      12      10      19      14      19

23. Who do you trust to do a better job handling - the environment, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                55%    21%    87%    52%    52%    58%    49%    82%    73% Reps in Congress     31     64      6     30     34     28     36     10     15 DK/NA                14     15      6     19     14     14     15      8     12                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                60%    43%    42%    49%    46%    51%    29%    53%    45% Reps in Congress     27     41     41     35     39     34     54     32     37 DK/NA                13     16     16     16     16     14     18     15     18                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                63%    52%    55%    54%    60%    55%    60%    56%    49% Reps in Congress     24     34     31     33     28     31     29     31     32 DK/NA                13     14     14     13     12     14     11     13     19

24. Who do you trust to do a better job handling - foreign policy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                51%     8%    90%    47%    46%    55%    43%    84%    68% Reps in Congress     37     79      6     34     42     32     44      7     22 DK/NA                12     13      3     18     12     12     13      9     10                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                53%    39%    39%    43%    40%    47%    27%    49%    42% Reps in Congress     36     47     48     46     47     40     58     40     45 DK/NA                10     14     13     10     13     13     15     12     13                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                57%    48%    56%    47%    50%    48%    52%    52%    52% Reps in Congress     33     38     31     43     42     36     39     37     33 DK/NA                10     13     14     10      8     16      9     11     14

25. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Excellent             1%     1%     2%     -      1%     1%     1%     4%     - Good                 19      3     34     18     19     20     16     31     27 Not so good          41     32     47     43     41     40     38     49     47 Poor                 38     64     16     38     39     38     44     15     26 DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      1      1      -                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Excellent             -      1%     1%     -      1%     -      1%     -      1% Good                 22     14     15     16     17     16      8     19     17 Not so good          43     36     35     39     39     38     31     39     34 Poor                 35     49     49     44     43     45     58     41     47 DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      1      1      -      -                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Excellent             -      1%     1%     1%     -      -      1%     1%     1% Good                 23     18     20     18     21     22     16     20     20 Not so good          45     39     40     40     42     45     45     39     35 Poor                 32     42     38     41     36     33     37     40     42 DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      2

TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                                              EXLNT+GOOD....                                                              High    Low                      Feb 11  Jul 12  Feb 23  Oct 06  Sep 01  Dec 10  Mar 04                      2013    2012    2012    2011    2011    2003    2009   Excellent             1       1       1       -       -       3       - Good                 19      13      13       6       4      37       3 Not so good          41      45      43      38      35      42      28 Poor                 38      41      43      55      61      16      68 DK/NA                 -       1       1       -       -       1       -

26. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Better               34%    10%    57%    33%    34%    35%    32%    49%    35% Worse                28     52      7     29     32     25     33      7     17 The same             37     37     35     38     34     40     35     43     45 DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      1      -      -      3                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Better               44%    26%    28%    31%    33%    31%    20%    35%    31% Worse                24     37     37     35     35     31     49     29     35 The same             32     36     34     33     32     37     31     36     33 DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Better               46%    29%    33%    32%    38%    29%    30%    37%    37% Worse                21     31     26     30     28     28     28     27     29 The same             33     39     40     37     34     42     41     35     33 DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      1      -      -      2

TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? (* Low also 11% Sep 2011)

                                                              BETTER........                                                              High    Low                      Feb 11  Feb 23  Oct 06  Sep 01  Jul 14  Jan 18  Oct 06                      2013    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011*   Better               34      35      11      11      23      36      11 Worse                28      26      44      49      32      20      44 The same             37      38      44      39      43      43      44 DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       2       2       1

27. Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Yes                  53%    74%    35%    53%    52%    54%    56%    35%    55% No                   42     21     60     42     43     41     39     58     43 DK/NA                 5      5      5      4      5      5      5      6      2                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Yes                  48%    60%    59%    61%    53%    59%    67%    55%    59% No                   48     35     36     37     42     36     27     41     36 DK/NA                 3      5      5      2      4      5      6      3      5                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Yes                  46%    57%    53%    56%    51%    58%    57%    53%    47% No                   51     38     40     42     48     37     40     42     46 DK/NA                 3      5      7      2      1      5      3      5      6

TREND: Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now?

                                                              YES RECESSION                                                              High    Low                      Feb 11  Apr 20  Feb 23  Oct 06  Sep 01  Jun 22  Feb 11                      2013    2012    2012    2011    2011    2010    2013   Yes                  53      68      66      77      76      79      53 No                   42      27      30      20      20      18      42 DK/NA                 5       5       4       3       4       3       5

28. Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Yes                  53%    23%    81%    52%    51%    54%    48%    80%    63% No                   44     75     16     45     47     42     50     16     35 DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      2      3      3      3      3                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Yes                  58%    43%    43%    47%    47%    49%    33%    51%    46% No                   40     55     54     51     51     49     63     48     52 DK/NA                 2      3      3      2      3      3      4      2      2                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Yes                  61%    49%    54%    49%    54%    53%    47%    54%    58% No                   37     48     44     48     44     45     50     44     38 DK/NA                 2      3      2      3      2      2      3      2      4

TREND: Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? (*High also Jan 2011)

                                                              YES RECOVER                                                              High    Low                      Feb 11  Apr 20  Feb 23  Sep 01  Jul 14  Feb 23  Sep 01                      2013    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012*   2011   Yes                  53      53      54      28      45      54      28 No                   44      43      43      68      52      43      68 DK/NA                 3       4       3       4       3       3       4

29. As you may know, unless Congress acts, about $1.2 trillion in defense and domestic spending would be cut from the federal budget on March 1st. Do you want these cuts to take effect or not, or don't you have an opinion on that?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Yes/Cut spending     22%    23%    17%    26%    28%    17%    23%    11%    20% No/Don't cut         43     46     43     44     41     46     45     44     41 No opinion           32     28     37     28     28     35     30     43     37 REFUSED               3      3      3      2      3      2      3      3      3                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Yes/Cut spending     25%    22%    21%    22%    30%    17%    23%    21%    27% No/Don't cut         51     41     48     45     41     48     46     46     50 No opinion           21     34     30     30     26     33     30     30     20 REFUSED               3      2      2      4      3      2      2      3      3                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Yes/Cut spending     25%    21%    16%    25%    33%    21%    21%    25%    21% No/Don't cut         50     41     42     47     46     35     44     47     43 No opinion           22     36     39     27     19     42     32     25     34 REFUSED               3      2      3      1      3      2      3      3      2

30. Who do you trust to do a better job cutting federal spending, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp   Obama                39%     4%    74%    32%    32%    46%    32%    78%    53% Reps in Congress     48     88     17     50     56     41     56     13     34 DK/NA                12      8      8     18     12     13     12      8     12                        WHITE..............................................                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld   Obama                38%    29%    28%    32%    27%    37%    18%    37%    28% Reps in Congress     52     57     61     59     60     51     70     52     57 DK/NA                10     13     12      9     12     12     11     11     15                        COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............                      Yes    No     100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+   Obama                40%    39%    46%    36%    29%    39%    38%    41%    39% Reps in Congress     48     48     42     51     59     45     50     47     50 DK/NA                12     13     12     12     12     16     12     12     11

Demographic Summary

Source: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail/?ReleaseID=1850

john wall gordon hayward

inconstant eden

Monday, February 11, 2013

National: Voters think Obama should focus State of the Union on economy; president handles economy better than GOP

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